Climate change map-try this out:
http://www.impactlab.org/map/#usmeas=absolute&usyear=2080-2099&gmeas=absolute&gyear=1986-2005
Nebraska->Alberta by 2050
Footprints:-----------
Your footprint: https://www.footprintcalculator.org
Reducing your carbon footprint:
Notes on the texts: "frog book" on the iPads, "bee" book on your computer, Friedland and Relyea (pdf for now)
Friedland and Relyea, 3rd edition, until the text rental situation is resolved (2.21)
http://physics.hpa.edu/physics/apenvsci/texts/fr_3e/
Note that the FR text is more detailed. The first two chapters of both this and the frog book (iBook) deal with defining environmental science, the scientific process and how APES covers many different topics. (see notes in previous class)
The FR text is divided into modules, with practice questions (PQ) at the end of each section and chapter questions (CP) at the end of each chapter. Your homework will often be the PQ during the week, and the larger CP over the weekend.
Module 1 -------------
Fracking-know what it is? Why is it controversial? How has it changed how we generate electricity in our country? At what cost? Why is this politically important? Why are the solvents they use secret? What is the impact of these solvents on water? Who developed it around 1960? What did he later put all of his money into?
Bio=life, so biotic means living, abiotic means not living (druids had a neat view on this)
How systems are defined enables us to create models of cause and effect (favorite topic of physicists and historians as well)
Module 2 ---------------
Environmental indicators: what we know and can observe that indicate the condition of a system
Ecosystem services: can be economic, direct or cascading (off shore oil for example, impacting fishing in the gulf of Mexico)
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Long list. Let's go for something more digestible:
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Note that biodiversity is a key indicator (why?)
These are the 5 challenges that you will deal with in this century. Knowing about them will enable you to impact change.
It's all about you.
More terms:
Genetic diversity: variation in a population (could be age distribution in our class)
Species: different in obvious ways (definitions vary on this)
Species diversity: variation of species in a habitat (age distribution in the school or elab)
Speciation: an adaptation based on stress
Evolution needs three things:
- some form of genetic variation
- some stress that favors this variation
- survivors have to reproduce and carry on the variation
Think of giraffes as an example:
- longer necks in some animals
- drought that kills all short neck creatures (just like in land before time)
- long neck animals survive to reproduce and carry on the variation
There is a theory that the background rate of mutation/speciation was much higher long ago because our atmosphere was thinner, and enabled more cosmic rays to penetrate, causing much higher rates of mutation/speciation.
Cool stuff:
In England, butterflies have adapted since 1850 to look more like soot from coal fires.
In NYC, a species of "subway mosquitoes" have been found that feed on humans in a dark, cool place
Huh.
Extinction is the opposite of speciation, where species die off.
There is such a thing as a "background rate of extinction", which we have surpassed by many times
Diversity is good: think of monoculture food crops: one pest kills everything.
Food production: see Malthus and Norman Borlaug, e.g. Mexico famine
Anthopogenic (anthro=man, genic=cause) Climate change:
Greenhouse gases (see car windshield as an example)
Not too many people know we need some CO2 to keep water above freezing-think of this as we search for exoplanets...
Resource depletion is hard to grasp, but resource constraints are easier:
If we had a major tsunami here that closed airports (all near the shore) and ports, how long would we have:
electricity?
water? (pumped by electricity)
food?
Recall our first concept:
energy->water->food->culture
- With energy you can move/purify water
- With water you can grow food
- With food you can maintain a culture
Sustainability: Thinking of forever
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Notice that these are not your usual "energy, food and water" items people think about.
Sustainability is living within your means.
Starbucks example...
Ecological footprint: created by Jurgen Randers and Mathis Wackernagel (both here for the opening of this famed structure)
- energy
- settlements
- timber
- food
- seafood
- carbon
- built up land
- forests
- cropland
- fisheries
What impacts your global footprint?
Module 3 -------
Next: The notorious scientific method
Look up "cold fusion"
Look up "Monty Python witch scene"
Why are lab notebooks done in pen?
What were the last words of Alfred Nobel's brother?
Why is there no Nobel prize for Mathematics?
Replication is key: if you have magic beans, and nobody can replicate your results, you are in trouble.
See also Korean claims of cloning humans (not sheep, we already did that-her name was Dolly)
Key idea: even wrong experiments are valuable: Edison: "I learned 800 ways not to make a light bulb"
Read about Chlorpyrifos, then look up Round up (glyphosate) in the recent news. Which of these do we use at HPA? Explain.
Control group is the population you don't mess with, to determine change.
Natural experiment is something you observe cause and effect from, but not by what you setup (look up Mount Pinatubo and cooling of the planet)
Frog book (iBook) chapter one: REVIEW FROM LAST CLASS----------------------------------
Ozone hole example: compare and contrast with anthropogenic climate change-why different?
Renewable vs. non-renewable resources (one politician recently tried to get nuclear energy classified as a renewable resource-it takes billions of years)
Renewable can be a forest, if used at a sustainable rate, otherwise not
Malthus again, Norman Borlaug again, and a new name: Paul Erlich (1968) "The Population Bomb"
In short: famine and conflict will arise from population growth.
In reality, it is much more complex, involving politics (e.g. Syria), economics (e.g. refugees from sub-Saharan Africa) and water rights (e.g. Palestine).
Jurgen Randers told me during the Elab opening that he thought in the next 50 years, China would invade Mongolia to the north, stating as a cause "religious instability" but the real cause would be access to water there.
If the Himalayan snowpack ceases to be a seasonal flow for the rivers of Asia, most of Western China would be in a drought, unable to produce food.
Look up flooding in the yangtze river...
Ecological Footprint again:
Tragedy of the Commons:
Garrett Hardin, UCSB (look this up)
We will duplicate this with a fishing example:
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